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Crown Green Handicap

Elaine Milligan

Top 10%
Team: PensbyDivision: League 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

1150

Current Handicap

3
Honours
Season:

54

Matches Played

44

Wins

10

Losses

81%

Win Rate

10.7

Avg Win Margin

6.7

Avg Loss Margin

25-2

Home Record

19-8

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
54 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/17/2026

A large recent sample: 54 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 39-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

75% Club

81%

Next goal: Hot Streak 1514/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS
2025
10-Game Streak12 in a row
Home Dominance9/9 home
2024
90% Season94%
Home Dominance8/8 home

Handicap Trend

All Time · 54 matches

+3 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

10 May28 Jun23 Aug9 Jun25 Jul8 May12 Jun17 Aug-13713

Gives 3 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current3
Win Percentage(40%)
81%
score+0.63→contribution+0.25
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
10.7
score+0.45→contribution+0.11
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.7
score+0.22→contribution+0.03
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
65%
score+0.30→contribution+0.03
Opponent Strength(10%)
878
score+0.50→contribution+0.05
Weighted Score+0.477
Sample Size Confidence
100%(54/39 matches)
Rating1238 → shrunk 1238→ adjusted 1091
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)1238
Recency Blend40% (54 recent matches)
Final Rating1150
Handicap
3

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

44W10L54 matches·81.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby2024–2026League 1, League 2, League 354441081.5%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/17/2026Tony CollierA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 1
8/14/2026Jake McElnayH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 1
7/31/2026Chris MorrisonH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 1
7/24/2026Mark HadfieldA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 1
7/17/2026Elliott PotterH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 1
7/3/2026Graham BuntingH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 1
6/26/2026Leigh DobsonA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 1
6/22/2026Lee BrocklebankH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 1
6/12/2026John CosgroveA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 1
6/8/2026John LloydH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 1
6/5/2026Ian SherbrookeA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 1
5/29/2026Chris EcclesA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 1
5/22/2026Paul CottamH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 1
5/18/2026Frank PotterH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 1
5/15/2026Nigel BreenA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 1
5/8/2026Andy RoseA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 1
4/27/2026Mike RileyH7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 1
4/24/2026Neil WainwrightA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 1
4/20/2026Kevin NugentH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 1
8/18/2025Chris BarlowH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 2
8/15/2025Cathy DohertyA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 2
8/11/2025James AthertonH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 2
7/25/2025Jeremy BradshawH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 2
7/21/2025Mark ObrienA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 2
7/18/2025Lorraine WatkinsH21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 2
7/11/2025Aaron RichardsA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 2
6/30/2025Hanna LusseyA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
6/27/2025Les RaynorH21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 2
6/13/2025George SaxtonH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 2
6/9/2025Graham WalkerA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
6/6/2025Frank PotterH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 2
5/30/2025Gavin MellingA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
5/16/2025Tim WatkinsA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
5/9/2025John MountfordH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 2
5/2/2025Dave BromleyA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 2
4/25/2025Gary HughesH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 2
8/23/2024Stephen CorriganH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2024Tony ThelwellA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2024Bill ClaytonH21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 3
7/26/2024Colin DraperH21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 3
7/19/2024Rob NunnA21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2024Tracy HughesH21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 3
7/5/2024Josep TaylorA21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
6/28/2024Grace MulvaneyH21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 3
6/24/2024Jean TaggartA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
6/21/2024vs Great MeolsA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
6/14/2024Zoe StrattonH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
6/7/2024Howard FernA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
5/31/2024Steve CharmleyA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
5/17/2024Shaun LuckieA21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
5/10/2024Alan GreenA21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 3
5/3/2024Josep TaylorH21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 3
4/26/2024John BensteadA21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 3
4/22/2024Jack AndertonH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
Federation National League2026· Birkenhead (8)2W · 1L · 66.7%
DateOpponentTeamH/AScoreResult
12/07/2026Charlesworth DavidLeylandH21-11WIN
14/06/2026Chris UreWarringtonH17-21LOSS
10/05/2026Lawson MittonCheshire Parks BA21-14WIN
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl7 games · 2W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundKevin JonesThingwall B21-15WINWON
Round of 16 RoundCraig SavilleGladstone17-21LOSSLOST
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundRay LynchLever Club10-21LOSSLOST
20244 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundMark SmithTixall12-21LOSSWON
Round of 32 RoundOwen DoyleNew Brighton Quarry Vikings B19-21LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundTommy RobertsCammell Laird21-11WINWON
Quarters Round* Chris BartonNew Brighton Quarry Vikings13-21LOSSLOST
Cartwright Cup3 games · 2W
20253 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundLes RaynorNaval Club21-6WINWON
Quarters RoundTony MccolganNew Brighton Quarry Vikings B19-21LOSSWON
Semi Final RoundTina EvansBebington Park21-10WINLOST

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

14

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
LWWLW
Last 1060% win rate— steady
LWWLWWWWLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Frank Potter202100%5/18/2026
Josep Taylor202100%7/5/2024
Tony Collier0110%8/17/2026
Jake McElnay101100%8/14/2026
Chris Morrison101100%7/31/2026
Mark Hadfield0110%7/24/2026
Elliott Potter101100%7/17/2026
Graham Bunting101100%7/3/2026
Leigh Dobson101100%6/26/2026
Lee Brocklebank101100%6/22/2026
Biggest Win
Colin Draper (+18)7/26/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Mike Riley (-14)4/27/2026
Best Season
202494% · 18 matches
Worst Season
202663% · 19 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
89% → 74%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
87653 known · 1 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
5-742% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
38-393% win rate

By Division

League 112-7 (63%)
League 317-1 (94%)
League 215-2 (88%)
League 163.2%
12W·7L·19 played
League 288.2%
15W·2L·17 played
League 394.4%
17W·1L·18 played

Debut

Apr 22, 2024

Latest

Aug 17, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (2.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

18.0 (54 total)

Seasons

202420252026